August 19, 2008 – 9:53 am
[Dave Birch] I’m running out of time to think of something interesting to say about the future at a conference I’ve been invited to next month (LIFT 08 in South Korea).
The best futurists take present-day trends in technology and extrapolate from them based on a few fundamentals: that large-scale institutions will keep being slow-witted, that small groups of people are good at learning and adapting to new circumstances, and that death and taxes will always be with us.
[From The future of futurism. - By Reihan Salam - Slate Magazine]
OK, I’ll give it a shot. What are the trends worth extrapolating though? I’ve drawn up a technology roadmap, based on some work I did for a government department a couple of years ago, but nothing much seems to have changed recently: mobile is still the key technology, shaping the environment over the medium and term and I’m pretty sure — based on a couple of other trends — that it will actually become more important over the period I’ll be looking at because of the confluence of mobile and identity.
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